Noise level isn't ultimate tool to tell you how clean your image will be. Even if noise level will tell you otherwise, you may still find image rendered with increased GIvsAA cleaner than rendered with default settings in the same amount of time. Humans perceive noise differently than machine code does. I'm not saying that higher GIvsAA will definitelly gives better render time for the same quality in your scene, it may be the other way round, but DOF in that shot isn't sshallow enough and usually noise in out of focus area isn't perceived as much as in focused area. By human brain that is.